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2024-12-14 00:53:02

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.The decline of treasury bond futures expanded, with the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 30-year main contract falling by 0.50%, the 10-year main contract falling by 0.18%, the 5-year main contract falling by 0.12% and the 2-year main contract falling by 0.05%.The three major stock indexes opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.19%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.29% and the Growth Enterprise Market down 0.15%.


The aquaculture sector oscillated to raise Huaying Agriculture's daily limit, the aquaculture sector oscillated to raise, Huaying Agriculture's daily limit, Tianyu Bio and Chuangye International's previous daily limit, and Zhongshui Fishery, Minhe Shares and Xiaoming Shares followed suit.The yield of main inter-bank interest rate bonds rose rapidly, with the yield of 10-year bonds "24 interest-bearing bonds 11" rising by 1.35bp, the yield of 30-year bonds "24 special bonds 06" rising by 1.6bp, and the yield of 20-year bonds "24 special bonds 05" rising by 2bp.The insurance sector fell by more than 8% in the short term, and the insurance sector fell by more than 8% in the short term. New China Life Insurance, China PICC, China Life Insurance and China Pacific Insurance followed suit.


During the year, the enthusiasm of securities firms for issuing bonds was less than that of the same period last year. Adequate capital is an important condition for securities firms to develop innovative business, enhance market competitiveness and prevent risks. In order to supplement working capital and support business development, this year, brokers have raised more than 1.2 trillion yuan by issuing bonds. The data shows that since the beginning of this year, as of December 10th (according to the starting date of issuance), 67 securities firms have issued a total of 644 bonds, with the total amount of bonds issued reaching 1,224.727 billion yuan. On the whole, compared with the same period of last year, the number of bonds issued by brokers has dropped by 13.56% this year, and the total issuance has dropped by 13.58%. Zhu Keli, executive director of China Information Association, said, "Since the beginning of this year, the' enthusiasm' of securities companies to issue bonds is not as good as last year, which shows that securities companies are more cautious and calm in their attitude towards issuing bonds and actively respond to policy calls such as taking the road of capital-saving and high-quality development. In the future, brokers should further balance the development of light and heavy capital business, reasonably determine the scale and frequency of debt issuance financing, improve the efficiency of capital use and develop more steadily. " (Securities Daily)The President of Argentina announced that a package of financial, political and security reforms will be carried out next year. On December 10, local time, Argentine President Millai said in a televised speech on the first anniversary of his administration that a package of financial, political and security reforms will be carried out in 2025. Millay also announced that the national tax revenue will be reduced by 90%. (CCTV News)Aston Martin will start producing its first plug-in hybrid supercar next year.

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